Granada are the draw specialists at the moment, sharing the points in their last three league matches, and we can see another stalemate here. Osasuna have actually only drawn once in their nine league games this term, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.55) 
