Almeria's home form this season has been impressive, but their away form has been disastrous, which should hand Cadiz confidence. The Yellow Submarine have only won once in front of their own fans this term, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
1.05) 
-0.69) 
