Cadiz are a very difficult side to back at the moment due to their struggles, and it is perhaps the worst time to play Atletico, who will be desperate to overcome their European disappointment. We are not expecting a game full of goals but believe that the visitors will have more than enough to secure a comfortable win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.13) 
