Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.1) 
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