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CL
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
BL

Cadiz
0 - 1
Barcelona


Alcaraz (45+1'), Hernandez (64'), Marti (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Felix (37')
Cubarsi (26'), Roberto (45+1'), ter Stegen (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Granada
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona

Cadiz are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Barcelona, with the relegation-threatened side winning their last two league games at home. The visitors will not be at full strength, but they are on a roll at the moment, and we are backing Xavi's side to edge a close game on Saturday night to continue their impressive winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
CadizDrawBarcelona
23.62% (0.396 0.4) 24.57% (0.026 0.03) 51.8% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (0.27200000000001 0.27)50.17% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (0.241 0.24)72.13% (-0.242 -0.24)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (0.51599999999999 0.52)35.89% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.523 0.52)72.67% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.102 -0.1)51.12% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 23.62%
    Barcelona 51.8%
    Draw 24.57%
CadizDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.62%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.37% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 51.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Granada
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Napoli
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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