Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.