SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Barcelona |
51.21% ( -0.54) | 22.7% ( 0.15) | 26.08% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.35) | 39.71% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0.36) | 62.06% ( 0.36) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( -0.31) | 15.66% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% ( -0.58) | 44.69% ( 0.58) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.11) | 28.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( 0.14) | 63.93% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.08% |
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