Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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