Cadiz have only actually lost five of their 16 home league matches this season, while Mallorca have just one away success to their name. It is therefore hard to back an away victory, but we are not convinced about a home win either, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.15) 
0.25) 
