Sevilla have kept clean sheets in their last two wins over Getafe and Las Palmas, and we are predicting another shut-out for the home side here. Mallorca are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we are expecting Sevilla to make it three successes in a row on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.57) 
