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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Camp Nou
CV

Barcelona
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

Messi (28')
Puig (56'), Lenglet (73')
Lenglet (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mina (38', 89')
Dominguez Caceres (51'), Mendez (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 10.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawCelta Vigo
72.77%16.29%10.94%
Both teams to score 52.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43%35.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.37%57.62%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52%8.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.59%29.41%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32%42.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98%79.01%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 72.76%
    Celta Vigo 10.94%
    Draw 16.29%
BarcelonaDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-0 @ 5.59%
4-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.29%
5-0 @ 2.76%
5-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 2.03%
6-0 @ 1.14%
5-2 @ 1%
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 72.76%
1-1 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 4%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.29%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.13%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 10.94%

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