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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
CV

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Mallo (22'), Portu (25'), Januzaj (39' pen.)
Elustondo (15'), Murillo (38'), Nolito (62'), Mallo (90+1'), Sagnan (90+1'), Fernandez (90+1'), Suarez (90+1'), Barrenetxea (90+4'), Aspas (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawCelta Vigo
38.11%27.48%34.42%
Both teams to score 49.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64%56.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62%77.38%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54%64.46%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07%30.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78%67.22%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 38.1%
    Celta Vigo 34.41%
    Draw 27.47%
Real SociedadDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.41%

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