Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.