Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
