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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
BL

Villarreal
1 - 2
Barcelona

Chukwueze (26'), Griezmann (28', 35')
Griezmann (50'), Albiol (66'), Torres (74'), Busquets (82'), Mingueza (90+3')
Trigueros (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawBarcelona
19.67%22.04%58.29%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57%66.43%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72%36.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94%73.06%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19%14.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.91%43.09%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 19.67%
    Barcelona 58.29%
    Draw 22.04%
VillarrealDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 5.45%
2-1 @ 5.28%
2-0 @ 2.76%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.67%
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 5.37%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.8%
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 6.24%
2-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.98%
2-4 @ 1.53%
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 58.29%

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