We said: Elche 1-1 Getafe
With both sides all but safe, aside from any dramatic swings on the final day, and a point confirming each of their survivals, we would not be surprised to see them settle for a draw.
Unal has the ability to cause the hosts problems, but we see Francisco's men at least forcing a share of the spoils on home turf.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.