Villarreal will need to switch their focus back to La Liga after the high of the Champions League, and they will be coming up against a Getafe side battling to remain in Spain's top flight. Villarreal, on paper, are the favourites, but Getafe might just want this a little bit more, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Villarreal
30.63%	27.54%	41.83%

Both teams to score 48.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61%

57.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79%

78.2%

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92%

34.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24%

70.76%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95%

27.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58%

62.42%

Score Analysis

Getafe 30.63%

Villarreal 41.83%

Draw 27.53%

Getafe	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.63%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.83%