SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.73% ( -0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.08) | 48.55% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.15) | 52.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.13) | 74.59% ( -0.13) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.11) | 35.59% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.64% ( -0.11) | 72.36% ( 0.1) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.19) | 21.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.93% ( 0.3) | 55.07% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 9% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
