With their confidence restored thanks to an important derby win at the weekend, we back Atletico Madrid to take all three points on Wednesday.
Simeone's men boast the quality at both ends of the pitch to outclass their hosts, and we do not see them running into too many troubles on their way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
-0.22) 
0.3) 
