With so much on the line, we predict a tight and cagey affair as both sides are desperate to avoid what would be a harmful defeat. We ultimately see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome, with the visitors expected to at least earn a point after their confidence-boosting win last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Mallorca
38.09%	26.75%	35.16%

Both teams to score 51.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59%

53.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06%

74.94%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31%

62.69%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01%

28.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11%

64.89%

Score Analysis

Elche 38.09%

Mallorca 35.16%

Draw 26.74%

Elche	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.09%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.16%