Real Madrid
3 - 0
Alaves

Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Diaye (48')

Preview

The Match

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Alaves

Real Madrid are in a need of a confidence-boosting win amid a difficult run of form, and we are fully expecting the home side to triumph this weekend. Alaves impressed against Valencia last time out and won at Bernabeu last term, but Ancelotti's side should have enough to collect all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 79.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.17%) and 1-0 (11.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
79.8%	13.87%	6.33%

Both teams to score 39.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06%

62.94%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.91%

8.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.55%

28.45%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.24%

56.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.1%

88.91%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 79.79%

Alaves 6.33%

Draw 13.87%

Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 14.52% 3-0 @ 12.17% 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 8.23% 4-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-1 @ 4.33% 5-0 @ 3.85% 5-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.95% 6-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.23% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.73% Total : 79.79%	1-1 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 2.33% Other @ 0.4% Total : 13.87%	0-1 @ 2.6% 1-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 1.88% Total : 6.33%