Alaves
0 - 1
Barcelona

Luis Mendilibar (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jong (87')

Preview

Xavi hails "marvellous" Pedri for display against Alaves

The Match

This is a huge game for Barcelona, and there is no downplaying the importance of the contest for the Catalan outfit, who desperately need a win to boost their confidence. Alaves could make it a very tricky affair, but we are expecting the away side to emerge victorious due to their superior quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
16.83%	22.05%	61.12%

Both teams to score 48.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.54%

48.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4%

70.6%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.87%

42.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46%

78.55%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63%

15.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84%

44.17%

Score Analysis

Alaves 16.83%

Barcelona 61.11%

Draw 22.05%

Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.83%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 12.12% 0-2 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.11%