Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.85%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
