Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
