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EL
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadi Cornellà-El Prat
AB

Espanyol
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

de Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
EspanyolDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.71%28.12%31.17%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69%59.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29%79.71%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.37%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3%34.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58%71.42%
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 40.7%
    Athletic Bilbao 31.16%
    Draw 28.11%
EspanyolDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.16%

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