Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
