SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 27.31% ( -0.02) | 40.84% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( 0.08) | 56.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% ( 0.07) | 77.23% ( -0.06) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.04) | 32.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.9% ( 0.04) | 69.09% ( -0.04) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.62% ( 0.07) | 62.38% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83% |
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