Getafe will be the fresher of the two teams, but Real Sociedad will be full of confidence following their win over Man United, and we believe that the visitors will shade a close contest to put another three points on the board.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.25) 
