Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
53.24% (![]() | 22.86% (![]() | 23.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% (![]() | 42.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.06% (![]() | 64.94% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% (![]() | 15.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.73% (![]() | 45.27% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% (![]() | 31.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% (![]() | 67.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
2-1 @ 9.78% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.9% |
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