SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
33.76% ( -0.73) | 24.42% ( 0.01) | 41.81% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.23) | 43.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( -0.23) | 65.84% ( 0.23) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.53) | 25.05% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -0.73) | 59.73% ( 0.74) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( 0.24) | 20.89% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.4% ( 0.37) | 53.59% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.81% |
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