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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
BL

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Barcelona

Lopez (39')
Espino (64'), Lopez (69'), Falcao (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lejeune (82' og.)
Pedri (31'), Romeu (51'), Felix (90+2'), de Jong (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona

Rayo's recent record against Barcelona will hand them confidence, and the visitors are not exactly in their best moment when it comes to performances and results. The Catalan giants often find a way to pick up wins when they need to, though, and we are backing them to secure an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawBarcelona
20.35% (-0.309 -0.31) 22.28% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 57.37% (0.287 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.563 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (-0.509 -0.51)44.14% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (-0.496 -0.5)66.52% (0.496 0.5)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (-0.601 -0.6)35.63% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (-0.625 -0.63)72.4% (0.624 0.62)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)15.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (-0.149 -0.15)43.72% (0.147 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 20.35%
    Barcelona 57.37%
    Draw 22.27%
Rayo VallecanoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 20.35%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.27%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.61% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.86% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico Lugones 0-6 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in La Liga


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