Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.72%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
