Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
