Leganes deserve huge credit for their performance against Barcelona, but Villarreal are very much due a win, and with the visitors set to be boosted by the returns of some key players, we can see them edging a close match on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Leganes has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Leganes win it is 1-0 (7.85%).

Result
Leganes	Draw	Villarreal
23.61% ( 0.27)	25.59% ( 0.13)	50.8% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83% (

-0.25)

54.16% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

-0.21)

75.58% (

0.21)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

0.11)

38.12% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11% (

0.11)

74.88% (

-0.11)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

-0.27)

21.35% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68% (

-0.42)

54.32% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Leganes 23.61%

Villarreal 50.79%

Draw 25.59%

Leganes	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.61%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.79%