Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.