SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
| 41.09% | 29.1% | 29.81% |
| Both teams to score 43.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.03% | 62.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% | 82.44% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% | 37.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.52% | 74.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 8.17% 2-1 @ 7.97% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.81% |
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