Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
22.74% | 29.94% | 47.32% |
Both teams to score 37.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.49% | 68.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.73% | 86.26% |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.71% | 47.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.29% | 82.7% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% | 65.53% |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.74% | 0-0 @ 13.95% 1-1 @ 12.75% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.93% | 0-1 @ 17.03% 0-2 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-3 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.28% Total : 47.31% |
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