We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents.
We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.22) 
