SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.54%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
68.98% ( -0.2) | 20.11% ( 0.21) | 10.91% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.67% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.84) | 52.58% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.73) | 74.23% ( 0.73) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.32) | 14.23% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.64) | 41.97% ( 0.64) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.25% ( -0.55) | 53.75% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.88% ( -0.34) | 87.12% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 14.54% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.98% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.91% |
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