Real Sociedad are in desperate need of the points in their battle to secure a top-four finish, and we are backing the Basque outfit to return to winning ways here. Rayo are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday but might ultimately fall just short against Alguacil's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
-0.09) 
0.02) 
