Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
