Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.