Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
