Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.