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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
RV

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Kroos (14'), Benzema (38')
Kroos (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Falcao (76')
Balliu (45+1'), Comesana (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
71.59%18.56%9.85%
Both teams to score 40.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82%49.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75%71.25%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58%12.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67%38.33%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.29%53.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.9%87.1%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.58%
    Rayo Vallecano 9.85%
    Draw 18.56%
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 14.51%
1-0 @ 13.91%
3-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 5.26%
4-1 @ 3.27%
5-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 71.58%
1-1 @ 8.65%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.56%
0-1 @ 4.15%
1-2 @ 2.69%
0-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.85%

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