Real Madrid
2 - 1
Shakhtar

Benzema (14', 61')
Mendy (39'), Casemiro (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernando (39')
De Zerbi (55'), Dentinho (90+3')

Build‑up

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
57.11%	23.15%	19.73%

Both teams to score 50.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.29%

48.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.18%

70.81%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.8%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1%

38.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37%

75.63%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 57.11%

Shakhtar Donetsk 19.73%

Draw 23.15%

Real Madrid	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.11%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.43% Total : 19.73%