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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
SL

Real Madrid
2 - 2
Sevilla

Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
42.6%27.47%29.93%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.63%57.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81%78.18%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37%26.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13%61.87%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42%34.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7%71.3%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 42.59%
    Sevilla 29.93%
    Draw 27.46%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.59%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.93%

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