Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
