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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Reale Arena (Donostia-San Sebastián)
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Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Monaco

Merino (53')
Elustondo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Disasi (16')
Maripan (87'), Volland (90+2'), Disasi (90+2'), Kovac (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawMonaco
34.07%25.62%40.31%
Both teams to score 55.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23%48.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.87%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.89%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86%58.14%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.07%
    Monaco 40.31%
    Draw 25.62%
Real SociedadDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.49%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.31%

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