Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
