SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 34.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 1-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (13.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
| 33.66% | 31.49% | 34.85% |
| Both teams to score 38.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.09% | 86.91% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.77% | 75.23% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% | 37.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 33.65% | 0-0 @ 14.47% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.48% | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.74% Total : 34.85% |
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