Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.