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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
CL

Villarreal
2 - 1
Cadiz

Moreno (5' pen.), Bacca (67')
Foyth (35'), Trigueros (60'), Albiol (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alex (69')
Jonsson (4'), Cala (15'), Fali (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCadiz
60.89%23.37%15.74%
Both teams to score 43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69%55.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48%76.52%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15%17.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39%48.61%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34%47.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02%82.97%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 60.88%
    Cadiz 15.74%
    Draw 23.37%
VillarrealDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5.38%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.99%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 60.88%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 4.03%
0-2 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.74%

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