Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.