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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 3, 2020 at 12pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
EL

Real Valladolid
1 - 2
Eibar

Toni (37')
Fede (23'), El Yamiq (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgos (29' pen.), Rodrigues (90')
Mendi (55'), Burgos (59'), Rober (90+6')
Diop (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawEibar
31%29.38%39.62%
Both teams to score 43.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42%63.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12%82.88%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87%37.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08%73.91%
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67%31.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31%67.69%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 31%
    Eibar 39.62%
    Draw 29.37%
Real ValladolidDrawEibar
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 31%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 13.5%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-3 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.62%


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